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Abadie, Diamond and Hainmüller (2010) Synthetic Control Model

The ADH2011 model is in some sense the canonical Synthetic Control Model. It is set out in Abadie, Diamond and Hainmüller (2010, JASSA)[1], which estimates the effects of proposition 99, a change to tobacco advertising rules in California, on smoking rates in the state.

The method was initially introduced in Abadie and Gardeazabal (2003)[2].

  • 1Abadie, A., Diamond, A., and Hainmüller, J. (2010): Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California’s Tobacco Control Program, American Journal of Political Science, Vol. 59(2), Pp. 495-510
  • 2Abadie, A., and Gardeazabal, J. (2003): The Economic Cost of Conflict: A Case Study of the Basque Country, American Economic Review, Vol. 93(1), Pp. 113-132